Thursday, March 02, 2006

 

recent polls, though you shouldn't take them too seriously

I don't consider these polls the "final word," but they are interesting. I just wonder if people were asked about all the parties, including Marzel's.

Polls: Kadima 36-39 Labor 19-21 Likud 15-18 NRP/Nat'l Union 9-11

Aaron Lerner Date: 2 March 2006

#1 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 503 adult Israelis (including Arab Israelis) carried out by Maagar Mohot ("Brain Trust") for Israel Radio's "Its all Talk" on 1 March 2006 [Before the Likud Central Committee voted that in the future the party Knesset list will be set via primaries held with the participation of all Likud members].

#2 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 502 adult Israelis (including Arab Israelis) carried out by Teleseker for Maariv on 1 March 2006 [Before the Likud Central Committee voted that in the future the party Knesset list will be set via primaries held with the participation of all Likud members]. Published in Maariv on 2 March. [Adds to 121 because Teleseker shows 7-9 seats for the Arab parties].

#3 Telephone poll of a representative sample of adult Israelis (including Arab Israelis) carried out by Dialogue for Haaretz 1 March 2006 [Before the Likud Central Committee voted that in the future the party Knesset list will be set via primaries held with the participation of all Likud members]. Published in Haaretz on 2 March.

Knesset election vote expressed in mandates[current in brackets]
#1 #2 #3
36 39 37 [00] Kadima
16 18 15 [40] Likud
19 21 19 [22]
00 00 [15] Shinui (both the party and the break-away party)
09 09 10 [11] Shas
08 08 09 [08] Arab parties
06 05 06 [06] Yachad [Meretz]
11 09 11 [07* & 6] National Union & NRP
08 07 07 [07*] Yisrael Beiteinu [Lieberman]
06 05 06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah01 --
00 [00] Green Leaf (legalize hashish)
* National Union & Yisrael Beiteinu together have 7 seats

Maagar Mochot also asked: Who would you prefer as prime minister: Olmert,Netanyahu or Peretz?
Olmert 39% Netanyahu 20% Peretz 12% Other replies 20%

Dialogue also asked: Who is most appropriate to be prime minister: Olmert, Netanyahu or Peretz?
Olmert 30% Netanyahu 25% Peretz 15%
On a scale of 1 to 10 how do you rate the personal honesty of Olmert, Netanyahu or Peretz?
Olmert 5.30 Netanyahu 4.73 Peretz 5.60

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.ilWebsite: http://www.imra.org.il --------------------------------------------IMRA - Independent Media Review and AnalysisWebsite: www.imra.org.il
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